Best returners — full ATP & WTA ranking

Leader

Coco Gauff

+6.2 points per 100 return points above the tour

123 players

#	Player	Value	Pctl	Sample
1	Coco Gauff#4	+6.2	100.0	93
2	Iga Swiatek#8	+5.6	99.2	99
3	Sara Bejlek#38	+4.7	98.4	86
4	Daria Kasatkina#61	+4.3	97.5	62
5	Katie Volynets#91	+4.2	96.7	127
6	Mirra Andreeva#5	+4.0	95.9	93
7	Aryna Sabalenka#1	+3.9	95.1	104
8	Elina Svitolina#9	+3.7	94.3	82
9	Eva Lys#85	+3.7	93.4	89
10	Marta Kostyuk#11	+3.5	92.6	64
11	Amanda Anisimova#10	+3.4	91.8	86
12	Camila Osorio#60	+3.3	91.0	83
13	Jessica Pegula#3	+3.3	90.2	105
14	Marie Bouzkova#25	+3.2	89.3	72
15	Caty McNally	+3.2	88.5	85
16	ER Elena Ruse	+3.2	87.7	66
17	Katerina Siniakova#37	+3.2	86.9	84
18	Emma Navarro#28	+3.1	86.1	81
19	Elina Avanesyan	+3.0	85.2	55
20	XW Xiyu Wang	+3.0	84.4	69
21	Alexandra Eala#20	+2.9	83.6	120
22	Harriet Dart#144	+2.8	82.8	94
23	Emma Raducanu#49	+2.8	82.0	61
24	Sara Sorribes Tormo	+2.8	81.1	52
25	Viktorija Golubic#51	+2.7	80.3	101
26	Jelena Ostapenko#29	+2.7	79.5	63
27	Maya Joint#75	+2.6	78.7	112
28	Ekaterina Alexandrova#19	+2.5	77.9	91
29	Iva Jovic#16	+2.5	77.0	87
30	Zeynep Sonmez#52	+2.5	76.2	115
31	Jasmine Paolini#15	+2.5	75.4	80
32	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro#63	+2.4	74.6	93
33	Belinda Bencic#14	+2.4	73.8	75
34	Anna Blinkova#108	+2.4	73.0	89
35	Emiliana Arango#97	+2.4	72.1	111
36	Elise Mertens#24	+2.3	71.3	76
37	Anhelina Kalinina#54	+2.3	70.5	68
38	Aliaksandra Sasnovich#141	+2.3	69.7	119
39	Cristina Bucsa#40	+2.1	68.9	98
40	Madison Keys#23	+2.0	68.0	70
41	Lin Zhu	+2.0	67.2	55
42	SE Sara Errani	+1.9	66.4	37
43	Renata Zarazua#73	+1.9	65.6	125
44	Yuliia Starodubtseva#65	+1.8	64.8	123
45	MS Marina Stakusic#145	+1.7	63.9	82
46	Elena Rybakina#2	+1.7	63.1	111
47	ZB Zhuoxuan Bai	+1.7	62.3	32
48	Suzan Lamens#148	+1.6	61.5	109
49	Varvara Gracheva#102	+1.6	60.7	90
50	Anastasia Potapova#27	+1.6	59.8	70

Opponent-adjusted. It is the excess over what the rest of the tour manages AGAINST THE SAME OPPONENTS, shrunk towards zero by n/(n+15). Without that adjustment the list rewards whoever never meets a good opponent: a Challenger regular topped the raw table.
Minimum 30 matches with serve statistics. Below that the figure is noise and publishing it would be faking precision. Each family of metrics carries its own counter — 200 matches is not 200 tiebreaks.
Window. Every match since 2024 — that is where serve statistics begin in this database; before that there are none.
One division at a time. A player belongs to the Challenger/ITF division when more than half of their matches since 2024 are played there. Mixing the two ranks schedules rather than players: the raw list of closers was headed by an ITF player at 100% over twenty matches.
Not a betting signal. It describes a player, not a price. Our own prediction engine is measured against the market and loses: 0.632 log loss against 0.593.

Leader

+6.2 points per 100 return points above the tour

123 players

#	Player	Value	Pctl	Sample
1	Coco Gauff#4	+6.2	100.0	93
2	Iga Swiatek#8	+5.6	99.2	99
3	Sara Bejlek#38	+4.7	98.4	86
4	Daria Kasatkina#61	+4.3	97.5	62
5	Katie Volynets#91	+4.2	96.7	127
6	Mirra Andreeva#5	+4.0	95.9	93
7	Aryna Sabalenka#1	+3.9	95.1	104
8	Elina Svitolina#9	+3.7	94.3	82
9	Eva Lys#85	+3.7	93.4	89
10	Marta Kostyuk#11	+3.5	92.6	64
11	Amanda Anisimova#10	+3.4	91.8	86
12	Camila Osorio#60	+3.3	91.0	83
13	Jessica Pegula#3	+3.3	90.2	105
14	Marie Bouzkova#25	+3.2	89.3	72
15	Caty McNally	+3.2	88.5	85
16	ER Elena Ruse	+3.2	87.7	66
17	Katerina Siniakova#37	+3.2	86.9	84
18	Emma Navarro#28	+3.1	86.1	81
19	Elina Avanesyan	+3.0	85.2	55
20	XW Xiyu Wang	+3.0	84.4	69
21	Alexandra Eala#20	+2.9	83.6	120
22	Harriet Dart#144	+2.8	82.8	94
23	Emma Raducanu#49	+2.8	82.0	61
24	Sara Sorribes Tormo	+2.8	81.1	52
25	Viktorija Golubic#51	+2.7	80.3	101
26	Jelena Ostapenko#29	+2.7	79.5	63
27	Maya Joint#75	+2.6	78.7	112
28	Ekaterina Alexandrova#19	+2.5	77.9	91
29	Iva Jovic#16	+2.5	77.0	87
30	Zeynep Sonmez#52	+2.5	76.2	115
31	Jasmine Paolini#15	+2.5	75.4	80
32	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro#63	+2.4	74.6	93
33	Belinda Bencic#14	+2.4	73.8	75
34	Anna Blinkova#108	+2.4	73.0	89
35	Emiliana Arango#97	+2.4	72.1	111
36	Elise Mertens#24	+2.3	71.3	76
37	Anhelina Kalinina#54	+2.3	70.5	68
38	Aliaksandra Sasnovich#141	+2.3	69.7	119
39	Cristina Bucsa#40	+2.1	68.9	98
40	Madison Keys#23	+2.0	68.0	70
41	Lin Zhu	+2.0	67.2	55
42	SE Sara Errani	+1.9	66.4	37
43	Renata Zarazua#73	+1.9	65.6	125
44	Yuliia Starodubtseva#65	+1.8	64.8	123
45	MS Marina Stakusic#145	+1.7	63.9	82
46	Elena Rybakina#2	+1.7	63.1	111
47	ZB Zhuoxuan Bai	+1.7	62.3	32
48	Suzan Lamens#148	+1.6	61.5	109
49	Varvara Gracheva#102	+1.6	60.7	90
50	Anastasia Potapova#27	+1.6	59.8	70

Opponent-adjusted. It is the excess over what the rest of the tour manages AGAINST THE SAME OPPONENTS, shrunk towards zero by n/(n+15). Without that adjustment the list rewards whoever never meets a good opponent: a Challenger regular topped the raw table.
Minimum 30 matches with serve statistics. Below that the figure is noise and publishing it would be faking precision. Each family of metrics carries its own counter — 200 matches is not 200 tiebreaks.
Window. Every match since 2024 — that is where serve statistics begin in this database; before that there are none.
One division at a time. A player belongs to the Challenger/ITF division when more than half of their matches since 2024 are played there. Mixing the two ranks schedules rather than players: the raw list of closers was headed by an ITF player at 100% over twenty matches.
Not a betting signal. It describes a player, not a price. Our own prediction engine is measured against the market and loses: 0.632 log loss against 0.593.