Nineteen complete rankings, one page each — every qualifying player, not a top ten. Each figure comes with the distribution it belongs to, because a number without its spread is decoration.
Jannik SinnerStrength adjusted for who you beat, not for how many points a tournament happened to award. The rating our own predictions are built on.
Jannik Sinner+8.8
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard+7.1
Taylor Fritz+6.3Jannik Sinner90.1%Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard88.1%Taylor Fritz86.8%Reilly Opelka20.7Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard19.1
Hubert Hurkacz15.6Jannik Sinner79.9%Taylor Fritz79.3%Reilly Opelka79.2%Jannik Sinner59.6%
Carlos Alcaraz56.9%Ben Shelton56.3%Brandon Nakashima1.6
Jordan Thompson1.9Jannik Sinner+7.3Carlos Alcaraz+6.8
Mariano Navone+6.1Mariano Navone33.7%Jannik Sinner32.5%Carlos Alcaraz31.0%
Kei Nishikori46.6%Sebastian Baez44.8%Zachary Svajda44.7%Jannik Sinner74.2%Reilly Opelka72.7%Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard70.6%Jannik Sinner69.4%Learner Tien65.9%Carlos Alcaraz82.5%Jannik Sinner79.7%Jannik Sinner56.1%Carlos Alcaraz50.0%
Jacob Fearnley97.2%
Wu Yibing94.7%Jannik Sinner86.5%Carlos Alcaraz84.2%Bu Yunchaokete77.9%Mattia Bellucci73.7%Mackenzie McDonald73.5%
Jesper de Jong17.8%Learner Tien17.4%Arthur Cazaux17.3%Jannik Sinner1.82Carlos Alcaraz1.62Elo by surface, and the gap against a player's own overall rating — the specialist test.
Every tour tournament ranked by how many more aces are hit there. Each player measured against themselves, so it describes the court and not the draw.
How many games a match actually lasts: the share finishing above each line, over five years. A base rate, not a forecast.
Each ranking states its own sample floor and window on its page. Serve and return statistics start in 2024; everything derived from the scoreline goes back five years.
