Samsonova holds the higher global Elo, 1736 to 1691, and the narrower edge on hard courts, 1647 to 1633, two gaps that point the same way without being wide.
Their weeks in Guadalajara have looked different. Samsonova needed deciding sets against Marta Kostyuk (4-6 6-2 7-5) and Kayla Day (7-6 2-6 7-6) after beating Elsa Jacquemot 7-6 6-2. Stearns has not dropped a set: 6-3 6-2 over Emiliana Arango, 6-2 7-5 over Diane Parry, 7-6 6-4 over Sloane Stephens.
Form over the recorded sample is 7W-3L for Samsonova and 6W-4L for Stearns; both lost their listed matches at the US Open and Cincinnati. No meetings appear in the available head-to-head data, though that coverage is unknown, so the evidence stops short of a clear lean.

















