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Home›Stats›Break percentage

Break percentage

Share of return games broken. The mirror of hold, and the rarer skill.

ATPWTA
TourChallenger / ITF
Mariano Navone
Leader

ARGMariano Navone

33.7% of return games broken

Average
23.3%
Std. dev.
3.7
Leader sits at
2.8σ
Range
12.4 … 33.7
121 players
#PlayerValuevs tour averagePctlSample
1
Mariano Navone
ARGMariano Navone#44
33.7%100.0114
2
Jannik Sinner
ITAJannik Sinner#1
32.5%99.298
3
Carlos Alcaraz
ESPCarlos Alcaraz#2
31.0%98.3102
4
Francisco Cerundolo
ARGFrancisco Cerundolo#23
30.1%97.589
5
Cristian Garin
CHICristian Garin#136
29.8%96.7112
6
KN
JPNKei Nishikori
29.7%95.843
7
Vit Kopriva
CZEVit Kopriva#71
29.6%95.0156
8
Damir Dzumhur
BIHDamir Dzumhur#104
29.4%94.2152
9
FF
ITAFabio Fognini
29.0%93.354
10
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARGCamilo Ugo Carabelli#76
28.9%92.5161
11
Wu Yibing
CHNWu Yibing#116
28.4%91.767
12
Sebastian Baez
ARGSebastian Baez#48
28.2%90.875
13
Alex de Minaur
AUSAlex de Minaur#7
28.0%90.0103
14
Daniil Medvedev
RUSDaniil Medvedev#6
27.8%89.295
15
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESPRoberto Carballes Baena
27.3%88.375
16
Learner Tien
USALearner Tien#19
27.3%87.5137
17
Jesper de Jong
NEDJesper de Jong#105
26.8%86.7146
18
Jacob Fearnley
GBRJacob Fearnley#110
26.8%85.8110
19
Marton Fucsovics
HUNMarton Fucsovics#83
26.7%85.085
20
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESPPablo Carreno Busta#68
26.6%84.294
21
Novak Djokovic
SERNovak Djokovic#5
26.6%83.358
22
YN
JPNYoshihito Nishioka
26.6%82.557
23
Tommy Paul
USATommy Paul#21
26.6%81.773
24
Corentin Moutet
FRACorentin Moutet#59
26.3%80.8109
25
DG
BELDavid Goffin
26.3%80.088
26
Luciano Darderi
ITALuciano Darderi#22
26.3%79.2113
27
Hugo Gaston
FRAHugo Gaston#96
26.2%78.3110
28
Lorenzo Musetti
ITALorenzo Musetti#13
26.1%77.588
29
RG
FRARichard Gasquet
26.1%76.760
30
Pedro Martinez
ESPPedro Martinez#148
26.0%75.894
31
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ESPAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#25
25.8%75.088
32
Dusan Lajovic
SERDusan Lajovic#149
25.7%74.294
33
Zachary Svajda
USAZachary Svajda#87
25.6%73.3138
34
DE
GBRDaniel Evans
25.6%72.560
35
Jaume Munar
ESPJaume Munar#45
25.5%71.793
36
Botic Van De Zandschulp
NEDBotic Van De Zandschulp#70
25.5%70.898
37
Jack Draper
GBRJack Draper#143
25.5%70.043
38
Juncheng Shang
CHNJuncheng Shang
25.1%69.241
39
Luca Nardi
ITALuca Nardi
25.1%68.3117
40
Denis Shapovalov
CANDenis Shapovalov#43
24.9%67.572
41
BC
CROBorna Coric
24.8%66.756
42
Hamad Medjedovic
SERHamad Medjedovic#73
24.6%65.8106
43
Arthur Fils
FRAArthur Fils#24
24.5%65.060
44
Rinky Hijikata
AUSRinky Hijikata#93
24.4%64.2126
45
Valentin Vacherot
MONValentin Vacherot#18
24.4%63.3127
46
Mackenzie McDonald
USAMackenzie McDonald#144
24.4%62.5118
47
Casper Ruud
NORCasper Ruud#14
24.3%61.779
48
HR
DENHolger Rune#99
24.2%60.849
49
Joao Fonseca
BRAJoao Fonseca#27
24.2%60.0111
50
Thiago Seyboth Wild
BRAThiago Seyboth Wild
24.1%59.275

How this is calculated

  • Minimum 30 matches with serve statistics. Below that the figure is noise and publishing it would be faking precision. Each family of metrics carries its own counter — 200 matches is not 200 tiebreaks.
  • Window. Every match since 2024 — that is where serve statistics begin in this database; before that there are none.
  • One division at a time. A player belongs to the Challenger/ITF division when more than half of their matches since 2024 are played there. Mixing the two ranks schedules rather than players: the raw list of closers was headed by an ITF player at 100% over twenty matches.
  • Not a betting signal. It describes a player, not a price. Our own prediction engine is measured against the market and loses: 0.632 log loss against 0.593.

Related rankings

Best returners →Break points converted →