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Home›Stats›Closing out

Closing out

Matches won after taking the first set. The inverse of the comeback, and the number in-play money moves on.

ATPWTA
TourChallenger / ITF
DM
Leader

ROUDragos Nicolae Madaras

100.0% of matches closed out after winning the first set

Average
83.7%
Std. dev.
6.6
Leader sits at
2.5σ
Range
58.6 … 100.0
988 players
#PlayerValuevs tour averagePctlSample
1
DM
ROUDragos Nicolae Madaras
100.0%100.024
2
CM
ESPCarlos Lopez Montagud
98.3%99.958
3
TL
FRATimo Legout
96.4%99.828
4
SC
FRASean Cuenin
96.2%99.753
5
OA
Oliver Clark Anderson
96.2%99.626
6
HN
SYRHazem Naw
96.1%99.551
7
YB
Yan Bai
95.9%99.474
8
NR
Natan Rodrigues
95.8%99.324
9
PB
Pierre Yves Bailly
95.8%99.224
10
Chris Rodesch
LUXChris Rodesch#150
95.6%99.191
11
DB
Devin Badenhorst
95.5%99.022
12
VB
UKRViacheslav Bielinskyi
95.4%98.987
13
PC
Pawel Cias
95.3%98.843
14
LC
SUILuca Castelnuovo
95.2%98.763
15
DS
INDDhakshineswar Suresh
95.2%98.642
16
MG
Mikhail Gorokhov
95.2%98.521
17
Rafael Jodar
ESPRafael Jodar#15
95.1%98.482
18
SB
USASamir Banerjee
95.1%98.341
19
OM
SRBOgnjen Milic
95.1%98.261
20
RQ
Rudy Quan
95.0%98.120
21
TC
ITATommaso Compagnucci
94.9%98.099
22
Raphael Collignon
BELRaphael Collignon#38
94.8%97.9135
23
JF
CZEJakub Filip
94.6%97.837
24
KO
LATKarlis Ozolins
94.6%97.737
25
Guido Ivan Justo
ARGGuido Ivan Justo
94.4%97.6107
26
NT
Nicolas Tepmahc
94.3%97.553
27
JM
GBRJohannus Monday
94.3%97.470
28
Felix Balshaw
FRAFelix Balshaw
94.2%97.352
29
CD
FRACorentin Denolly
94.2%97.286
30
DS
SUIDominic Stricker
94.0%97.167
31
AO
KAZAmir Omarkhanov
93.9%97.033
32
CF
Chase Ferguson
93.8%96.948
33
Jacopo Vasami
ITAJacopo Vasami
93.8%96.832
34
Gauthier Onclin
BELGauthier Onclin
93.7%96.7111
35
MS
EGYMohamed Safwat
93.6%96.647
36
MH
Maximilian Homberg
93.5%96.531
37
DW
Damien Wenger
93.5%96.446
38
AB
COLAdria Soriano Barrera
93.3%96.375
39
MD
AUSMatthew Dellavedova
93.3%96.1104
40
NI
Nicholas David Ionel
93.3%96.0104
41
HA
Harrison Adams
93.1%95.929
42
KJ
Kristijan Juhas
93.1%95.829
43
MA
IRLMichael Agwi
93.1%95.772
44
FP
SLOFilip Jeff Planinsek
93.0%95.643
45
Carlos Sanchez Jover
ESPCarlos Sanchez Jover
93.0%95.5100
46
JK
AUSJason Kubler
93.0%95.471
47
AF
USAAndrew Fenty
92.9%95.370
48
SP
Savva Polukhin
92.9%95.228
49
Franco Roncadelli
URUFranco Roncadelli
92.8%95.183
50
CO
DENCarl Emil Overbeck
92.7%95.041

How this is calculated

  • Minimum 20 matches after winning the first set. Below that the figure is noise and publishing it would be faking precision. Each family of metrics carries its own counter — 200 matches is not 200 tiebreaks.
  • Window. Five years of results. These rows need only the scoreline, which exists far further back than serve statistics do.
  • One division at a time. A player belongs to the Challenger/ITF division when more than half of their matches since 2024 are played there. Mixing the two ranks schedules rather than players: the raw list of closers was headed by an ITF player at 100% over twenty matches.
  • Not a betting signal. It describes a player, not a price. Our own prediction engine is measured against the market and loses: 0.632 log loss against 0.593.

Related rankings

Break points saved →Tiebreak record →Deciding sets →Comebacks →