Coco Gauff def. Jessica Pegula | WTA 1000 Cincinnati (Hard) Match Stats

Coco Gauff def. Jessica Pegula | WTA 1000 Cincinnati (Hard) Match Stats | TennisRaptor

Gauff beats Pegula 6-2 6-4 for Cincinnati WTA 1000 title

Coco Gauff controlled an all-American final in Cincinnati, beating Jessica Pegula 6-2, 6-4 without ever losing her grip on the match. The difference lived on serve: Gauff won 70.4% of her first-serve points and a hefty 54.5% behind her second, while Pegula, despite landing 63.9% of first serves, took just 46.2% of those points and 50% behind the second. That imbalance let Gauff, who struck two aces to Pegula's none, dictate the rallies from the opening set. Both players kept the errors down to a single double fault apiece, but only one found free points. The title caps a commanding week on hard courts for Gauff.

WTA 1000 Cincinnati (Hard)

Coco Gauff

WINNER

6-26-4

Jessica Pegula

LOSS

Aces

vs 0

56%

Pts Won

62/110

55%

1st Serve %

64%

70% (19/27)

1st Serve Points Won

46% (18/39)

55% (12/22)

2nd Serve Points Won

50% (11/22)

0/2

Break Points Saved

1/6

5/6

Break Points Converted

2/2

61% (30/49)

Service Points Won

48% (29/61)

54% (21/39)

1st return points won

33% (9/27)

50% (11/22)

2nd return points won

45% (10/22)

52% (32/61)

Return Points Won

39% (19/49)

78% (7/9)

Service Games Won

44% (4/9)

56% (5/9)

Return Games Won

22% (2/9)

BEFORE THE MATCH

Pegula's Hard-Court Edge Meets Gauff's Untroubled March in Cincinnati

A trophy is at stake in Cincinnati, and with it the last serious hard-court statement before the US Open. Pegula walks in leading the rivalry 5-4; Gauff walks in with the superior global Elo. Neither hierarchy settles a championship afternoon.

Their routes here diverged sharply. Gauff conceded a single set in five matches; Pegula survived three deciders, Swiatek among them. That grind proved her nerve but taxed her legs. Expect Pegula to flatten exchanges early and deny rhythm, while Gauff's defensive geometry rewards a patience she cannot afford to abandon under pressure.

The thirty-point hard-court Elo gap in Pegula's favour reflects a game engineered for these surfaces, and the head-to-head suggests she reads Gauff's forehand better than most. Fatigue narrows the margin, but the lean stays with Pegula, probably across three tight sets.

Written and published before this match was played. Kept unedited, whatever the result — including when we got it wrong.